Impact of Foreign Institutional Investments on Stock Market Volatility in India

Authors

  •   Gaurav Dadhich Undergraduate Student, Department of Economics and Finance, 6165, New Academic Block, Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani, Rajasthan
  •   Varun Chotia Research Scholar, Department of Economics and Finance, 6165, New Academic Block, Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani, Rajasthan
  •   Omvir Chaudhry Assistant Professor, Department of Economics and Finance, 6165- O, New Academic Block, Birla Institute of Technology and Science Pilani, Rajasthan

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2015/v9i10/79561

Keywords:

Stock Market Volatility

, Gross Purchase, Gross Sale, Leverage Effect, Volatility Clustering, FII

C58

, G10, G23

Paper Submission Date

, March 15, 2015, Paper sent back for Revision, June 9, Paper Acceptance Date, July 7, 2015

Abstract

India is being viewed as a potential opportunity by investors, with the economy having the capacity to grow tremendously. Buoyed by exceptional support from the country's government, the FII sector in India looks set to prosper, and the outlook looks extremely promising. In this paper, an attempt was made to study the volatility patterns in Indian markets through properties such as volatility clustering, leverage effect. This paper tried to examine FII flows in Indian securities market and assessed the impact of foreign institutional investment on Indian stock market volatility. Effect of news in the first moment was modeled with the help of ARCH-GARCH process and the change over 24 hours (from a closing rate to a closing rate) was measured for a period from 2004-2014. Our analysis revealed the persistence of volatility and confirmed the leverage effect in Indian securities market. We observed that FIIs contributed significantly to the Indian stock market volatility. The coefficient of gross purchase was significant, suggesting that a greater volatility in gross purchase by FIIs could have greater implications for the volatility of stock indices during 2004-2014 in comparison to gross sales by FIIs.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Downloads

Published

2015-10-01

How to Cite

Dadhich, G., Chotia, V., & Chaudhry, O. (2015). Impact of Foreign Institutional Investments on Stock Market Volatility in India. Indian Journal of Finance, 9(10), 22–35. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2015/v9i10/79561

Issue

Section

Articles

References

Anand, K. (2013, September, 17). How an FII exit will hit the Indian stock market. The Economic Times, p.2.

Banerjee, A., & Sarkar, S. (2006). Modelling daily volatility of the Indian stock market using intra-day data (WPS No. 588/March 2006). Retrieved from http://financelab.iimcal.ac.in/resdoc/WPS-588.pdf

Bansal, A., & Pasricha, J.S. (2009). Foreign institutional investors' impact on stock prices in India. Journal of Academics Research in Economics, 1 (2), 181-189.

Black, F. (1976). Studies of stock price volatility changes. In, Proceedings of the 1976 Meetings of the Business and Economic Statistics Section (pp. 177-181). Washington, D. C. : American Statistical Association.

Bohn, H., & Tesar, L. L. (1996). U.S. equity investment in foreign markets: Portfolio rebalancing or return chasing? American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings, 86 (2), 77-81.

Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31, 307-327.

Bollerslev, T., Chou, R. Y., & Kroner, K.F. (1992). ARCH modelling in finance: A review of the theory and empirical evidence. Journal of Econometrics, 52 (1-2), 5-59.

Bowman, K. O., & Shenton, L. R. (1975). Omnibus test contours for departures from normality based on √b1 and b2. Biometrika, 62 (2), 243–250. doi: 10.1093/biomet/62.2.243

Campbell, J.Y., & Hentschel, L. (1992). No news is good news: An asymmetric model of changing volatility in stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 31 (3), 281 - 318. doi:10.1016/0304-405X(92)90037-X

Chakrabarti, R. (2001). FII flows to India: Nature and causes. ICRA Bulletin - Money and Finance, 2 (7), 61- 81.

Chittedi, K.R. (2008). Volatility of Indian stock market and FIIs. The Indian Economy Review, 5 (31), 183 -191.

Christie, A. A. (1982). The stochastic behavior of common stock variances: Value, leverage and interest rate effects. Journal of Financial Economics, 10 (4), 407-432.

De Santis, G., & Imrohoroglu, S. (1997). Stock returns and volatility in emerging financial markets. Journal of International Money and Finance, 16 (4), 561-579.

Dhamija, N. (2008). Foreign institutional investment in India: An exploratory analysis of patterns across firms. The Journal of Applied Economic Research, 2 (3), 287- 320. DOI: 10.1177/097380100800200304

Engle, R.F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity with estimates of the variance of U.K. inflation. Econometrica, 50, 987-1008.

Engle, R. F., & Mustafa, C. (1992). Implied ARCH models from options prices. Journal of Econometrics, 52 (1-2), 289-311.

Engle, R.F., & Ng, V. K. (1993). Measuring and testing the impact of news on volatility. The Journal of Finance, 48 (5), 1749-1778. DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb05127.x

Ganesamoorthy, L., & Shankar, H. (2012). Dynamics of FII investment and stock market returns in India: An empirical analysis. Indian Journal of Finance, 6 (5), 25-31.

Garg, A., & Bodla, B.S. (2009). Determinants of FIIs in Indian stock market. Abhigyan, 26 (4), 12-24.

Gordon, J., & Gupta, P. (2003). Portfolio flows into India: Do domestic fundamentals matter ? (IMF Working Paper No. 03/20). Washington, D. C. : International Monetary Fund.

Gupta, A. (2011). Does the stock market raise or fall due to FIIs in India. Researchers World Journal of Arts, Science and Commerce, 2 (2), 99 - 107.

Hamao, Y., & Mei, J. (2001). Living with the “enemyâ€: An analysis of foreign investment in the Japanese equity market. Journal of International Money and Finance, 20 (5), 715 - 735.

Karmakar, M. (2006). Stock market volatility in the long run 1965-2005. Economic and Political Weekly, 41 (18), 1796-1802.

Kim, E. H., & Singal, V. (2000). Stock market openings: Experience of emerging economies. The Journal of Business, 73 (1), 25-66.

Kohli, R., (2001). Capital account liberalization: Empirical evidence and policy issue – I. Economic and Political Weekly, 36 (1421), 1199-1206.

Loomba, J. (2012). Do FIIs impact volatility of Indian stock market? International Journal of Marketing, Financial Services & Management Research, 1 (7), 80-93.

Majumder, B. S., & Nag, N.R. (2013). Foreign institutional investment, stock market, and volatility: Recent evidence from India. Indian Journal of Finance, 7 (7), 23-31.

Mandelbrot, B. (1963). The variation of certain speculative prices. The Journal of Business, 36 (4), 394-419.

Mehta, D. (2009). A study: FII flows in India. Research on Indian stock volatility (Vol. 14). New Delhi: Emerald Group Publishing Limited.

Mehta, R., & Jain, A. (2015). Impact of global financial crisis on sectoral composition of foreign institutional investments in India. Pacific Business Review International, April 2015. Retrieved from http://pbr.co.in/April2015_9_Issue.aspx

Naik, P. K., & Padhi, P. (2015). An empirical evidence of dynamic interaction between institutional fund flows and stock market returns in India. Indian Journal of Finance, 9 (4), 21-32.

Nelson, D. B (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59 (2), 347-370.

Pal, P. (1998). Foreign portfolio investment in Indian equity markets : Has the economy benefited ? Economic & Political Weekly, 33 (11), 589 - 598.

Poon, S. - H., & Granger, C. W. J. (2003). Forecasting volatility in financial markets : A review. Journal of Economic Literature, 41 (2), 478-539. DOI: 10.1257/002205103765762743

Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L.H. (1986). The persistence of volatility and stock market fluctuations. American Economic Review, 76 (5), 1142-1151. DOI: 10.3386/w1462

Prasanna, P. K. (2008). Foreign institutional investors: Investment preferences in India. Journal of Administration and Governance, 3 (2), 40-51.

Roy, M. K. (2001). Stock market in a liberalized economy : The Indian experience. Economic and Political Weekly, 36 (4), 367-376.

Saha, M. (2009). Stock market in India and foreign institutional investments: An appraisal. Journal of Business and Economic Issues, 1 (1), 1-15.

Samal, K. C. (1997). Emerging equity markets in India : Role of foreign institutional investors. Economic and Political Weekly, 32 (42), 2729- 2732.

Saravanan, G., & Deo, M. (2011). Recent financial crisis and the role of foreign institutional investors in India with reference to NSE. Indian Journal of Finance, 5 (2), 3 -9.

Sethi, N. (2007). International capital flows and growth in India: The recent experience (Working Paper No. 1010071). Hyderabad : Department of Economics, University of Hyderabad.

Shukla, R.K. (2011). FII equity investment and Indian capital market : An empirical investigation. Pacific Business Review International, 4 (1), 62-69.

Szabo, V. (2014, December 4). After equities, Indian bonds become FIIs' hunting ground. The Economic Times. Retrieved from http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2014-12-04/news/56723522_1_indian-bonds-rupee-bonds-aberdeen-asset-management

Tesar, L., & Werner, I. (1995). Home bias and high turnover. Journal of International Money and Finance, 14 (4), 467-492.

Upadhyay, S. (2006). FIIs in the stock market and the question of volatility. Portfolio Organizer, May 2006, 12 (5), 22-30.