Impact of India’s 2019 Corporate Tax Cut Announcement on the Stock Market

Authors

  •   Chandan Sharma Assistant Professor, Delhi School of Management, Delhi Technological University, New Delhi - 110 042

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2022/v16i2/162839

Keywords:

Event Study

, Corporate Tax Cut, Industry Analysis, India, Stock Markets, Abnormal Returns.

JEL Classification Codes

, G12, G14, H25.

Paper Submission Date

, May 25, 2021, Paper Sent Back for Revision, January 2, 2022, Paper Acceptance Date, January 25, Paper Published Online, February 15, 2022.

Abstract

The paper analyzed the short-term impact of India’s corporate tax cut announcement in 2019 on the Indian stock market. The paper utilized event study methodology to analyze how stocks across industries reacted to the unexpected announcement of the corporate tax cut. The paper found heterogeneity in the abnormal stock returns across industries due to the announcement. Automobile, cement, construction, consumer goods, financial services, and consumer services saw positive abnormal returns due to the announcement. In contrast, power, information technology, and the pharmaceutical industries saw negative abnormal returns. This asymmetry in the stock returns was explained based on companies’ differential corporate tax rates.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biography

Chandan Sharma, Assistant Professor, Delhi School of Management, Delhi Technological University, New Delhi - 110 042

Chandan Sharma is an Assistant Professor, Delhi School of Management,  Delhi Technological University, Delhi, India. He has been engaged in the teaching of finance and related areas to post-graduate students. His principal areas of interest include corporate finance, credit risk, and valuation.

 

ORCID iD : https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4725-1715

Downloads

Published

2022-02-14

How to Cite

Sharma, C. (2022). Impact of India’s 2019 Corporate Tax Cut Announcement on the Stock Market. Indian Journal of Finance, 16(2), 24–36. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2022/v16i2/162839

References

Auerbach, A. J. (2018). Measuring the effects of corporate tax cuts. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 32(4), 97–120. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.32.4.97

Bali, T. G., Peng, L., Shen, Y., & Tang, Y. (2014). Liquidity shocks and stock market reactions. The Review of Financial Studies, 27(5), 1434–1485. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hht074

Banociova, A., & Tahlova, S. (2019). European states in a bout of corporate tax competition. Journal of Competitiveness, 11(3), 19–34. https://doi.org/10.7441/joc.2019.03.02

Becchetti, L., & Ciciretti, R. (2011). Stock market reaction to the global financial crisis : Testing for the Lehman Brothers' event. Giornale Degli Economisti e Annali Di Economia, 70(2), 3–58. https://www.jstor.org/stable/23248340

Bennedsen, M., & Zeume, S. (2018). Corporate tax havens and transparency. The Review of Financial Studies, 31(4), 1221–1264. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhx122

Bhattacharya, A. (2019). Impact of negative news on the U.S. soft drinks industry. Indian Journal of Finance, 13(8), 26–37. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2019/v13i8/146302

Chang, C. - L., Hsu, S. - H., & McAleer, M. (2018). An event study analysis of political events, disasters, and accidents for Chinese tourists to Taiwan. Sustainability (Switzerland), 10(11), 4307. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10114307

Corporate tax cut to help boost economy, says FM Sitharaman. (2019, December 03). Hindustan Times. https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/corporate-tax-cut-to-help-boost-economy-says-fm-sitharaman/story-gGyCghv9m6hhSmx6ZByQJK.html

Dierkes, S., & Schäfer, U. (2017). Corporate taxes, capital structure, and valuation: Combining Modigliani/Miller and Miles/Ezzell. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 48, 363–383. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-016-0554-4

Doidge, C., & Dyck, A. (2015). Taxes and corporate policies: Evidence from a quasi natural experiment. The Journal of Finance, 70(1), 45–89. https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12101

Dyckman, T., Donna, Philbrick., D., & Stephan, J. (1984). A comparison of event study methodologies using daily stock returns: A simulation approach. Journal of Accounting Research, 22, 1–30. https://doi.org/10.2307/2490855

Gaertner, F. B., Hoopes, J. L., & Williams, B. M. (2020). Making only America great? Non-U.S. market reactions to U.S. tax reform. Management Science, 66(2), 687–697. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2019.3451

Graham, J. R. (2003). Taxes and corporate finance: A review. The Review of Financial Studies, 16(4), 1075–1129. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhg033

Gupta, P., & Kohli, B. (2021). Herding behavior in the Indian stock market : An empirical study. Indian Journal of Finance, 15(5–7), 86–99. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2021/v15i5-7/164495

Jawed, M. S., Dhaigude, A. S., & Tapar, A. V. (2019). The sectoral effect of demonetization on the economy: Evidence from early reaction of the Indian stock markets. Cogent Economics and Finance, 7(1), 1595992. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2019.1595992

Kalaš, B., Mirović, V., & Pjanić, M. (2017). Economic and tax competitiveness in selected South East European Countries. Economic Analysis, 50(3–4), 55–65. https://www.ceeol.com/search/article-detail?id=606908

Kalcheva, I., PleÄnik, J. M., Tran, H., & Turkiela, J. (2020). (Un)intended consequences? The impact of the 2017 tax cuts and jobs act on shareholder wealth. Journal of Banking and & Finance, 118, 105860. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2020.105860

Kolari, J. W., & Pynnönen, S. (2010). Event study testing with cross-sectional correlation of abnormal returns. The Review of Financial Studies, 23(11), 3996–4025. https://www.jstor.org/stable/40961306

Liu, H. Y., Manzoor, A., Wang, C. Y., Zhang, L., & Manzoor, Z. (2020). The COVID-19 outbreak and affected countries stock markets response. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 17(8), 2800. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17082800

Manda, S., Himanshu, H., & Bansal, S. K. (2020). Evaluation of recent corporate tax reduction in India using MCDM approach. Journal of Public Affairs, 20(4), 2270. https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.2270

Mertens, K., & Ravn, M. O. (2019). The dynamic effects of personal and corporate income tax changes in the United States: Reply. American Economic Review, 109(7), 2679–2691. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20180707

Miller, M. H., & Modigliani, F. (1961). Dividend policy, growth, and the valuation of shares. The Journal of Business, 34(4), 411–433. https://www.jstor.org/stable/2351143

Nadig, A. (2017). Impact of interim dividend announcements on banking stock prices in India. Indian Journal of Finance, 11(7), 50–64. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2017/v11i7/116567

National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. (2020). Fact sheet of Nifty 500. https://www1.nseindia.com/content/indices/ind_nifty_500.pdf

National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. (2021). Fact sheet of Nifty 100. https://www.nseindia.com/products-services/indices-nifty100-index

Pandya, I. H. (2014). Impact of the Union Budget on the Indian stock market. Indian Journal of Finance, 8(3), 44–57. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2014/v8i3/71963

Pradhan, S. K., & Kasilingam, R. (2018). Stock split announcements and their impact on shareholders’ wealth : A study on the Indian Stock Market. Indian Journal of Finance, 12(10), 46–61. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2018/v12i10/132499

Press Information Bureau, Ministry of Finance, Government of India. (2019, September 20). Corporate tax rates slashed to 22% for domestic companies and 15% for new domestic manufacturing companies and other fiscal reliefs. Ministry of Finance, Government of India. https://archive.pib.gov.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=193301

Sarkar, S. (2012). Attracting private investment: Tax reduction, investment subsidy, or both? Economic Modelling, 29(5), 1780–1785. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.05.030

Singh, G., & Padmakumari, L. (2020). Stock market reaction to inflation announcement in the Indian stock market: A sectoral analysis. Cogent Economics and & Finance, 8, (1), 1723827. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2020.1723827

Syed, A. A., Tripathi, R., & Deewan, J. (2021). Investigating the impact of the first and second waves of the COVID - 19 pandemic on the Indian stock and commodity markets : An ARDL analysis of gold, oil, and stock market prices. Indian Journal of Finance, 15(12), 8–21. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2021/v15i12/167306

Tax Foundation. (2021). Corporate tax rates around the world, 2021. https://files.taxfoundation.org/20211208141411/1980-2021-Corporate-Tax-Rates-Around-the-World.xlsx

Tax Policy Center, Urban Institute & Brookings Institution. (2017, November 6). Preliminary details and distributional analysis of the tax cuts and jobs act. http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/sites/default/files/publication/147726/2001579-preliminary-distributional-analysis-of-the-tax-cuts-and-jobs-act.pdf

Vianna, A. C. (2017). Effects of Bush Tax Cut and Obama Tax Increase on corporate payout policy and stock returns. Journal of Economics and Finance, 41, 441–462. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12197-016-9362-x

Vijayalakshmi, B. (2017). A study on risk & return analysis of selected industries in India. Indian Journal of Finance, 11(11), 56–65. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2017/v11i11/119341

Wagner, A. F., Zeckhauser, R. J., & Ziegler, A. (2018a). Company stock price reactions to the 2016 election shock: Trump, taxes, and trade. Journal of Financial Economics, 130(2), 428–451. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2018.06.013

Wagner, A. F., Zeckhauser, R. J., & Ziegler, A. (2018b). Unequal rewards to firms: Stock market responses to the Trump Election and the 2017 corporate tax reform. AEA Papers and Proceedings, 108, 590–596. https://doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20181091

Wang, H., & Macy, A. (2021). Statutory corporate tax change and the stock market returns: The global experience. Applied Economics Letters, 28(6), 464–469. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761523

Williams, B. M. (2018). Multinational tax incentives and offshored U.S. jobs. The Accounting Review, 93(5), 293–324. https://doi.org/10.2308/accr-52008